Conf = Liberty League State = NY
Nickname = Herons Coach = Anne PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.2356186 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 7-10, 81.0) 16- 2 302 H York MAC Commonwea (14- 7, 93.1) 11-10 306 H Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 4, 89.2) 16- 9 309 A Cortland SUNYAC (15- 5, 90.4) 14- 5 318 N Salisbury Coast to Coas (17- 3, 96.6) 10- 7 322 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 89.2) 12- 6 323 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 87.9) 15- 9 327 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (12- 8, 91.1) 16- 5 330 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 87.7) 13- 4 405 A St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.7) 12- 8 406 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 85.0) 15- 8 410 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (18- 2, 93.1) 3-16 413 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 2-15, 67.2) 25- 1 414 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.4) 10-13 417 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 83.5) 21- 3 420 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 86.2) 21- 8 427 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 82.0) 24- 3 430 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.7) 19- 6 503 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 89.2) 13- 3 505 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (18- 2, 93.1) 10-11 512 H MIT NEWMAC (17- 5, 93.2) 12- 9 518 A Gettysburg Centennial (17- 4, 95.2) 18-10 519 N Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.8) 14- 6 524 N Salisbury Coast to Coas (17- 3, 96.6)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Nazareth 16- 2 14 14 0.00 302 H York 11-10 1 2 -1.73 306 H Geneseo 16- 9 7 6 0.33 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 4 + 2.72 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.41 322 H Union 12- 6 6 6 -0.66 323 H RPI 15- 9 6 7 -1.00 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 4 + 2.22 330 H Skidmore 13- 4 9 8 0.00 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00 406 A Clarkson 15- 8 7 9 0.00 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 1 --- -8.56 413 A Bard 25- 1 24 27 0.00 414 A Wesleyan 10-13 -3 -2 -0.19 417 H RIT 21- 3 18 12 0.00 420 A Rochester 21- 8 13 8 0.00 427 H Vassar 24- 3 21 13 0.00 430 H St Lawrence 19- 6 13 10 0.00 503 H Union 13- 3 10 6 0.34 505 A Ithaca 10-11 -1 1 - -2.56 512 H MIT 12- 9 3 2 0.32 518 A Gettysburg 18-10 8 0 +++ 7.52 519 N Colby 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 1 --- -8.56 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00 505 A Ithaca 10-11 -1 1 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 A Gettysburg 18-10 8 0 +++ 7.52 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.41 519 N Colby 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.55 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 4 + 2.72 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 4 + 2.22
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.24 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 74.44 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 17 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7515 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .6717 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 3.0 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 24 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 135. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 6 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 24.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3